CSU, NOAA Reinforce Forecast for Quiet Atlantic Hurricane Season
Atlantic Hurricane Outlook Confidence Grows
Forecast confidence is increasing that the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will remain quieter than normal. Colorado State University and NOAA both maintained below-normal seasonal outlooks in their August updates, with a strengthening El Niño expected to produce greater vertical wind shear across the tropical Atlantic. Those hostile upper-level winds should make it more difficult for tropical systems to organize and intensify during the peak of hurricane season. The outlook suggests a lower overall risk of widespread disruptions to Gulf Coast and Atlantic energy infrastructure, although a quiet season does not eliminate the threat from an individual landfalling hurricane.
Read my full analysis at Industrial Info’s IIR News Intelligence
Author: Aaron Studwell, Ph.D.
Dr. Aaron Studwell is an atmospheric scientist and meteorologist with more than 25 years of experience in weather forecasting, energy meteorology and applied atmospheric science. He holds a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Houston, an M.S. in Meteorology from Texas A&M University and a B.S. in Aerospace Engineering from the University of Michigan. His career has included operational forecasting, energy-sector analysis, broadcast meteorology, and consulting, with an emphasis on translating complex weather and climate information into clear, actionable intelligence for businesses, decision-makers and the public.
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